Its been clear for years that the 'desktop' PC is in decline – the world has chosen the laptop form factor, which can be used anywhere, rather than the more powerful, economical and desktop-bound devices.
But is there a more interesting trend that the one place most laptop users aren't interested in using their computers is sitting at a desk?
Over the last decade or so, the most unforeseeable developments probably weren't the growth of a company, or the rise or emergence of a new consumer product, category or technology. The thing that was unthinkable 10 years ago was that the clear leaders in technology – Microsoft in computers, Nokia in mobile phones, AOL in the consumer web/internet – would not be able to retain their obvious leadership positions.
What features make a smartphone "Smart"?
I suspect that most people's first answer would be 'internet'. Well, there are plenty of 'feature phones' (aka. Dumbphones) that can still pull up a page from the web or connect to email accounts. I think a phone can have a web browser and still not be a 'smartphone'.
3rd party applications? Well, I'm not sure if I would go with a definition that would rule out the original iPhone (and again, there are applications available for phones that I wouldn't call 'smart'.) But this feels a bit closer to a real point of differentiation.
But I think the important point is perhaps a little less obvious…